Media attention has somewhat focused away from the city of Kobani as the intense wave of coalition airstrikes against the Islamic State (IS) first helped to slow down the group's advance into Kobani. That said, the Democratic Union Party (PYD)'s project of an autonomous canton centred Kobani has been destroyed, and IS, in spite of the setbacks, still remains within the southern and eastern parts of the city (specifically in the latter, the industrial quarter), which IS has renamed Ayn al-Islam. At this point, for IS to capture the actual city would be little more than a symbolic victory to bolster the reputation of 'baqiya wa tatamaddad' ('remaining and expanding'). Ideological belief in the 'final victory', so to speak, among IS members is best reflected in the comments of IS member Abu al-Yaman al-Shami, who tweeted on 18 November: "[We will be] victorious in Ayn al-Islam. We expect victory more than any time. For we have perceived their weakness and seen their propensity to defeat. So nothing has remained except victory. Indeed the victory of God is near."
IS graphic from media wing al-Itisam Media: "Inside Ayn al-Islam [Kobani]."
At this stage, it becomes pertinent to ask which factions are present and active in Kobani to push back against IS, besides the PYD's "People's Protection Units" (YPG) and Peshmerga fighters brought in from Iraq: that is, the interest here is in which 'rebel' factions, if any, are still operating in Kobani. Most broadly, the rebel groups in question fall under the 'Euphrates Volcano' umbrella that was announced on 10 September (prior to the major IS assault on Kobani later that month) between the YPG (together with its female wing the YPJ/'Woman's Protection Units') and the following claimed select rebel groups to push back against IS in northeast Aleppo province: those groups were named as Liwa al-Tawhid (eastern section), Liwa Thuwar al-Raqqa, Kata'ib Shams al-Shamal of the Dawn of Freedom Brigades coalition, Saraya Jarabulus, Jabhat al-Akrad, Liwa 'Umana al-Raqqa, Liwa al-Jihad fi Sabeel Allah and Jaysh al-Qasas.
However, at least two of these groups denied being part of the 'Euphrates Volcano' initiative. Thus Liwa al-Jihad fi Sabeel Allah (aligned with theopposition-in-exile):
"Statement from Liwa al-Jihad fi Sabeel Allah on the subject of the formation of a joint operations room recently in the eastern region of the Aleppo countryside as well as Raqqa and its countryside under the name of 'Euphrates Volcano' on 10 September 2014. The brigade's leadership announces the following:
We reject joining the joint operations room for a number of reasons, the most important of them being:
1. We were not consulted about the joint room and for reasons of being alone in the opinion of the region's leadership.
2. There was no preceding coordination with us and we were not informed of all the details.
3. The lack of existence of an honorary charter detailing all the rights in the area between the commanders.
For the record, Liwa al-Jihad fi Sabeel Allah has had and continues to have as a fundamental aim fighting the criminal regime and Baghdadi's mercenary gang [Da3esh] on all the territories of the region until the realization of victory.
We wish the joint operations room all the best."
Similarly Liwa 'Umana al-Raqqa denied participation in 'Euphrates Volcano':
"Statement from Liwa 'Umana al-Raqqa on the subject of the formation of a joint operations room recently in the eastern region of the Aleppo countryside as well as Raqqa and its countryside under the name of 'Euphrates Volcano' on 10 September 2014. The brigade's leadership announces the following:
We reject joining the joint operations room for a number of reasons, the most important of them being:
1. We weren't informed about the issue of the joint operations room and not all the necessary conditions in the region have been fulfilled.
2. We were not made aware of all the details put forward at the joint leadership table in the region; and there was no coordination.
3. And most importantly, lack of existence of an honorary charter detailing all the rights in the area between all the present commanders.
Also we have not ceased to be loyal to the revolution and we will remain loyal by God's permission in steadfast word and deed; and our arms will always be directed against the tyrant Bashar the criminal and his troops and mercenary hirelings from the gangs of Da3esh in every place in our precious land.
We entreat God to bless this operations room that was formed with what He loves and is pleased with: that is, what is best for the land and the servants [of God]. And God is the guarantor of success in every matter."
We can therefore rule out Liwa 'Umana al-Raqqa and Liwa al-Jihad fi Sabeel Allah as participants in the fight against IS in Kobani. Of the other groups of 'Euphrates Volcano', the ones consistently mentioned according to multiple sources as present in Kobani are Kata'ib Shams al-Shamal, Liwa Thuwar al-Raqqa and Jabhat al-Akrad. The last of these three is merely a front group for the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), from which the PYD derives, and the YPG to act as a liaison group with the rebels: were the tide of the civil war to turn decisively in the rebels' favour, one would find that the Jabhat al-Akrad brand would become much more prominent.
Thus, the two most important rebel groups in Kobani are Kata'ib Shams al-Shamal- part of the Dawn of Freedom coalition that developed out of Liwa al-Tawheed and other local Islamic Front affiliates in north Aleppo province after localities such as Manbij were seized by what was then the Islamic State in Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS) at the start of this year- and Liwa Thuwar al-Raqqa (led by one Abu Eisa), an ex-Jabhat al-Nusra affiliate that had sought out allegiance with Syria's al-Qa'ida affiliate to protect itself from the encroachments of ISIS during the summer and fall of last year. Liwa Thuwar al-Raqqa tried to move against ISIS in January but ended up being expelled from the city (and from Jabhat al-Nusra), being forced to seek refuge with the YPG to the west of Tel Abyad.
Kata'ib Shams al-Shamal leader in Kobani- Abu Layla- with Peshmerga fighters. Photo from Abu Layla himself: 11 November.
Clearly having a close working relationship, the combined numbers of Liwa Thuwar al-Raqqa and Kata'ib Shams al-Shamal can be put at 150-250 fighters at most. While one of Dawn of Freedom's leaders (Abu al-Layth) had put the initial contingent of his own coalition that went to Kobani at 250 fighters, it was notable, as I have mentioned previously, that the numbers steadily went down over time, from 160 fighters in a subsequent conversation down to 70 in an interview with a local representative for Kata'ib Shams al-Shamal. In a later conversation (28 October) with the Kata'ib Shams al-Shamal representative in Kobani, manpower numbers were put at "approximately 180 fighters with all the crews" ("taqrīban 180 muqātilin ma kulli l-ṭawāqim"), likely in reference to the rebel groups working together.
Two more rebel factions can be identified as having operated or still operating in Kobani at this point, minor in significance even in comparison with Liwa Thuwar al-Raqqa and Kata'ib Shams al-Shamal. The first of these is Saraya Jarabulus ('Jarabulus Brigades'), formed out of rebel remnants from the town of Jarabulus which became an ISIS stronghold in June 2013 after being seized from the local rebel group "The Family of Jadir." Rebels from a number of factions including the Islamic Front tried to take Jarabulus from ISIS in January this year but failed as ISIS regrouped and killed dozens of rebels in the own using a local suicide bomber named Shadi Jassim on 15 January.
Shadi Jassim prior to his life as an ISIS suicide bomber. Photo reportedly in Beirut.
According to a media representative for Dawn of Freedom (not in Kobani), Saraya Jarabulus is a very small independent faction. The Kata'ib Shams al-Shamal representative in Kobani subsequently clarified to me that Saraya Jarabulus was initially operating in the city but now it has no presence.
Jaysh al-Qasas is in origin a rebel faction from Deir az-Zor city, some of whose members took refuge with the YPG as IS(IS) gradually took over Deir az-Zor province, having consolidated its control over all rebel-held territories in the province (including within the city) by July of this year. On 3 November, the group announced that three of its fighters had been killed in Kobani fighting IS.
The three reported fallen fighters of Jaysh al-Qasas against IS in Kobani: Nader Rawayli, Uqba al-Manfi and Ammar al-Mustafa
On a final note, one should comment on the initiative announced by Col. Abdul Jabbar al-Oqaidi [aka Abu Muhammad]- a one-time touted leader of the 'FSA' in Aleppo province- to send in 1300 'FSA' fighters to Kobani to push back against IS. This gesture should be taken with a pinch of salt, partly rooted as it is in Oqaidi's regret at having worked with and defended ISIS last year and partly in Oqaidi's desire to make himself still look like a relevant rebel figure even as he spends the majority of his time in Turkey. There is indeed a contingent present in Kobani representing Oqaidi but its presence is symbolic. As a Kata'ib Shams al-Shamal representative put it to me, "Oqaidi's group only eats and drinks." As of now, Oqaidi's small following remains the only external rebel contribution outside of Euphrates Volcano: claims that Islamic Front groups like Jaysh al-Islam were planning to send fighters to Kobani have proven unfounded.
In short, an overview of the rebel factions operating in Kobani at the present time shows that YPG-rebel cooperation is still local and exceptional in nature, and does not point to a fundamental shift in the dynamics of the conflict. More generally, ultimately conflicting goals, widespread rebel dislike of the "Kurdish parties"-with suspicion of cooperation with the regime* and a separatist agenda to divide Syria- and the practicalities of being able to send fighters to Kobani (it can only be done via Turkey) inhibit notions of a wider, more coordinated YPG-rebel alliance for the foreseeable future.
*- The very first airstrikes that were reported in the Kobani area by the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights were likely the work of the regime, whatever denials might come from PYD media. In light of the ineffectiveness of such airstrikes against IS, there was a turn to the international coalition for help. It would appear that the PYD had initially reached out to the regime viaMuqawama Suriya leader Mihrac Ural (hat-tip: Ceng Sagnic)- an unsurprising intermediary choice (if we go with Ural's testimony on 20 September), as Ural had facilitated contacts between Hafez al-Assad and the PKK. Despite Ural's apparent negative feelings about the PYD's autonomous administration project that has come at the expense of regime authority in areas like Qamishli city, he has been keen to portray himself as a figure standing in solidarity with Kurds against the IS threat.